Category: US Politics

• Trump campaign files lawsuit in Pennsylvania

• Ohio Attorney General has joined a bid to ask the US Supreme Court to toss the Pennsylvania Supreme Court’s late-October ruling allowing late ballots to be counted.

• Two Georgia GOP Senators call on Republican Secretary of State, Brad Raffensperger to resign over failure ‘to deliver honest and transparent elections.’

• Pennsylvania Supreme Court agrees to hear GOP challenge over dozens observers who claim they were ‘corralled’ and unable to view count, which may invalidate up to 800,000 ballots.

• Nevada poll worker attests to outright fraud.

Update 1810ET: The Trump campaign has filed a 105-page lawsuit in the US District Court in Pennsylvania alleging that the state operated an illegal ‘two-tiered’ voting system for the 2020 general election, and has sought to block the state from certifying the count.

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Update 1635ET: Monday just keeps getting more and more interesting. As claims of fraud and invalidated ballots pile up, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) and Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) threw their support behind election challenges (implying there’s a ‘there’ there).

For starters, Ohio Attorney General Dave Yost has filed a ‘friend of the court’ brief with the Supreme Court in support of Pennsylvania Republicans, who want the USSC to overturn the Pennsylvania Supreme Court’s late October ruling allowing absentee ballots which arrived up to three days after election day.

"The States need an answer to that question, which is certain to arise again in future elections. And it is important to provide that answer now because, without a ruling from this Court, doubts will continue to linger about whether the vote count in Pennsylvania was performed in conformity with the Constitution," reads the filing by Yost, which was also signed by Ohio Solicitor General Benjamin Flowers and Chief Deputy Solicitor General Michael Hendershot. (source: cleveland.com.

Read the filing here.

Next, two GOP Senators from Georgia have called on the state’s Republican Secretary of State to resign over his alleged failure ‘to deliver honest and transparent elections.’

And as we noted earlier:

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The Pennsylvania Supreme Court has agreed to consider a GOP challenge claiming that Republican observers were unable to oversee ballot counting, thereby invalidating hundreds of thousands of votes, according to Reuters.

The decision to hear the case is separate from a challenge to the PA Supreme Court’s ruling regarding ballots received after election day.

The news comes as Rudy Giuliani says at least 50 GOP witnesses say they were ‘corralled’ by Philadelphia election officials on election day and ‘weren’t able to see a single ballot’ counted behind closed doors. He claims that the roughly 800,000 votes counted after that ‘are invalid.’

Giuliani detailed the claims in an interview with Newsmax – where he announced that the first of five lawsuits will be filed on Monday in Pennsylvania ‘challenging the entire vote on a number of grounds.‘

Pennsylvania prevented us from watching much of the Ballot count. Unthinkable and illegal in this country.

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 9, 2020

"In this lawsuit we have over 50 witnesses who will say that the vote count, particularly once the election ended that night and President Trump was ahead by 800,000 votes in Pennsylvania, the count thereafter was unlawful," said Giuliani, adding: "It was counted behind closed doors. Republicans were not given an opportunity to see any of the mail-in ballots as required by Pennsylvania law. Pennsylvania law requires that for a ballot to be valid, a mail ballot to be valid, it has to be observed by both sides."

"We have 55 Republicans ready to testify that they were uniformly corralled and weren’t able to see a single ballot. They saw a lot of activity, but no ballot. Every one of those ballots that was cast that was not examined, is now an illegal ballot – an unlawful vote. -Rudy Giuliani

Giuliani continued: "Not just in Philadelphia, however, precisely the same thing was done in Pittsburgh. The only difference is – when a court intervened in Philadelphia they didn’t follow the court order, and our people were threatened with arrest if we tried to look at the ballots. Whereas in Pittsburgh, halfway through, they allowed some observation. So the numbers of unlawful ballots in Philadelphia are about twice the number in Pittsburgh."

“In this lawsuit we have over 50 witnesses who will say that the vote count was over 800,000 in Pennsylvania and the count was unlawful,” @RudyGiuliani tells Newsmax TV.

“We have 55 Republicans ready to testify.” https://t.co/6psrdu4pta pic.twitter.com/faBDeJhvqk

— Newsmax (@newsmax) November 9, 2020

Over the weekend, Giuliani told Fox News host Maria Bartiromo "This is documented on videotape. There are upwards of 50 witnesses. And this will be the subject of a lawsuit that we file tomorrow for violating civil rights, for conducting an unfair election, for violating the law of the state, for treating Pittsburgh and Philadelphia different than the rest of the state, which is an equal protection violation, which goes under Bush vs. Gore."

Meanwhile in Nevada, a Clark County poll worker has claimed in a sworn affidavit that proof of residence data was fabricated for illegal voters, among other claims.

The whistleblower claims that they worked 13 out of 14 days during early voting ‘from October 17th – 30th,’ where they ‘had concerns over election polling place intimidation and voter fraud.’

In a new sworn affidavit, a whistleblower with the Clark County Elections Department in Nevada claims Nevada poll workers fabricated proof of residence data for illegal voters. So far, Nevada Attorney General @AaronDFordNV has taken no action to investigate credible fraud claims. pic.twitter.com/GVdBiRHlGq

— Sean Davis (@seanmdav) November 9, 2020

Among the whistleblower’s claims:

• Voters without valid ID were told to go to the parking lot and simply ‘make an appointment with the DMV’ – after which they were allowed to vote.

"We were told by [redacted] (my team leader), and two other assistants to advise people who wanted to register to vote and did not have the proper Nevada ID/Driver’s license that they could go out in the parking lot and make an appointment with the DMV to get a Nevada ID/Driver’s License, and then bring in proof of their appointment confirmation (either a paper copy or show it on their phone to us) and then they would be registered."

"We were told to add two zeroes ("00") to the DMV confirmation number and put it where the Driver’s License/ID number was supposed to go when we filled in the registration form on line."

• A ‘Biden/Harris bus, tent, or table was in the parking lot’ with ‘speakers, dancers, music and other festivities’ and were offering ‘food, drink, and political memorabilia to voters.’

"Our team leader [redacted] had to go out several times a day to tell the Biden/Harris team they had to stay 100 feet from the location doors. As they would give folks signs to carry up to the door coming to vote. The Biden/Harris bus and/or van was there 7-8 days out of the 14 days."

• Unopened ballot envelopes were opened and filled out against the side of the Biden/Harris van.

"I personally witnessed two people handing multiple unopened mail in ballot envelopes to two other people who then opened and filled out the ballots against the side of the Biden/Harris van. The same two people who marked the ballots then put the marked ballots in official pink and white envelopes. These individuals were not poll workers."

…

"By my final walking lap, there were 5 or 6 additional people who formed a human wall, which moved as I walked by, apparently in an attempt to block my view of the four people who were opening envelopes, marking ballots, and placing those ballots in the pink and white return envelopes."

On Saturday, the Clark County Registrar of Voters, Joe Gloria, acknowledged that his office had received reports of potential voter fraud, but that they wouldn’t investigate them until after the election is completed.

"We do have some reports that have come in that we’re logging for reporting. But we’re definitely going to do an investigation, and we’ll deal with them once the canvass is finished," said Gloria. "The votes are in the system at this point, so we’ll have to after the election, post-election, go after anything that’s been reported at this time."

A most interesting thread popped up on Twitter Sunday from a data scientist who wishes to remain anonymous, regarding mail-in ballot data which strongly suggests fraud occurred in the wee hours of election night, when several swing states inexplicably stopped reporting vote counts while President Trump maintained a healthy lead over Joe Biden.

Using time series data ‘scraped’ from the New York Times website, the data – comparing several states (swing and non-swing) – clearly illustrates what fraud does and does not look like, and how several anomalies in swing states left ‘fingerprints of fraud’ as Biden pulled ahead of President Trump.

Presented below via @APhilosophae:

The following information is provided via an anonymous data scientist and another anonymous individual who wrote a script to scrape the national ballot counting time series data of off the @nytimes website.

— CulturalHusbandry (@APhilosophae) November 9, 2020

Continued…

This is based on their proprietary "Edison" data source which would ordinarily be impossible to access for people outside the press. The CSV is available here (updated). And the script to generate it is here. I suggest that everyone back up both of these files, bc this is an extremely important data source, and we cant risk anyone taking it down.

What we are looking at will be time series analysis and you will see that it is extremely difficult to create convincing synthetic times series data. By looking at the times series logs of the ballot counting process for the entire country, we can very easily spot fraud.

One of the first things noticed while exploring the dataset is that there seems to be an obvious pattern in the ratio of new #Biden ballots to new #Trump ballots.

As we can see on this log-log plot, for many of the counting progress updates, we see an almost constant ratio of #Biden to #Trump. It’s such a regular pattern that we can actually fit a linear regression model to it with near-perfect accuracy, barring some outliers. How could this be possible? Is this a telltale sign of fraud? Surprisingly, as it will be shown, the answer is no! This is actually expected behavior. Also, we can use this weird pattern in the ballot counting to spot fraud!

Here is the same pattern for Florida. We see this linear pattern again.

And again (Texas)

And again (South Dakota)

And again all over the country. What appears to be happening is that points on the straight line are actually mail in votes. The reason they’re so homogeneous across with respect to the ratio of #Biden vs #Trump votes is that they get randomly shuffled in the mail like a deck of cards. Since the ballots are randomly mixed together during transport, spanning areas occupied by multiple voting demographics, we can expect the ratio of mail-in #Biden ballots to mail-in #Trump ballots will remain relatively constant over time and across different reporting updates.

Lets dig a little deeper into this:

Here is a plot of the same Florida voting data, but this time it’s the ratio of #Biden to #Trump ballots, versus time. What we see is that the initial ballot reportings are very noisy and "random".

The initial reporting represents in-person voting. These vote reports have such large variation bc in-person voting happens across different geographic areas that have different political alignments. We can see this same pattern of noisy in-person voting, followed by homogeneous mail-in reporting in almost all cases. What we see in almost all examples across the country is that the ratio of mail-in Dem to Rep ballots is very consistent across time, but with the notable drift from Dem to slightly more Rep.

This slight drift from D to R mail-ins occurs again and again, and is likely due to outlying rural areas having more R votes. These outlying areas take longer to ship their ballots to the polling centers.

Now we’re getting into the really good stuff. When we see mail-in ballot counting where there isn’t relatively stable ratios of D and R ballots that slightly drift R, we have an anomaly! Anomalies themselves are not necessarily fraud, but they can help us spot fraud more easily.

Now let’s look at some anomalies:

This is the Wisconsin vote counting history log. Again, on the Y axis we have the ratio of D to R ballots in reporting batch, and on the X axis we have reporting time. Around 4am there, there is a marked shift in the ratio of D to R mail-in ballots. Based on other posts in this thread, this should not happen. This is an anomaly, and while anomalies are not always fraud, often they may point to fraud.

Around 3am Wisconsin time, a fresh batch of 169k new absentee ballots arrived. They were supposed to stop accepting new ballots, but eh, whatever I guess.

— CulturalHusbandry (@APhilosophae) November 9, 2020

By 4am the D to R ratio was all thrown out of whack. That is because these ballots were not sampled from the real Wisconsin voter population, and they were not randomized in the mail sorting system with the other ballots. They inherently have a different D to R signature than the rest of the ballots quite possibly bc additional ballots were added to the batch, either through backdating or ballot manufacturing or software tampering. This of this being kind of analogous to carbon-14 dating, but for ballot batch authenticity.

Lets look at another anomaly (Pennsylvania):

Here is Pennsylvania’s vote counting history. For the first part of the vote counting process, we see the same pattern for mail-in ballots that we’ve seen in every other state in the country, which is relatively stable D to R ratio that gradually drifts R as more ballots. But then as counting continues, the D to R ratio in mail-in ballots inexplicably begin "increasing". Again, this should not happen, and it is observed almost nowhere else in the country, because all of the ballots are randomly shuffled in the mail system and should be homogeneous during counting. The only exceptions to this are other suspect states that also have anomalies.

Again, this is evidence of ballot backdating, manufacturing of software tampering.

Lets look at another anomaly:

In Georgia we see pretty much the same story as Pennsylvania: increasing fractions of mail-in D ballots over time even though it defies logic and we see this pattern no where else in the country.

In Michigan, we see a combination of Wisconsin strangeness, together with the GA/PA weirdness. We see both signs of contaminated ballot dumping, and ballot ratios drifting toward dems when they should not be.

Virginia:

Now in fairness, VA is the only state out of the 50 that has anomalies but has not had accusations of voter fraud, yet. I think this is the exception that proves the rule. Yet to figure out what causes this anomalous shift, but here it is so no one accuses me of holding it back.

Lets wrap this up: It appears Dems shot themselves in the foot bc making everyone do mail-in ballots actually makes it easier to catch mail-in ballot fraud. Bc all of the ballots go through the postal system, they get shuffled like a deck of cards, so we expect reported ballot return to be extremely UNIFORM in terms of D vs R ratio, but to drift slightly towards R over time bc some of those ballots travel farther. This pattern proves fraud and is a verifiable timestamp of when each fraudulent action occurred.

Following earlier comments by Rudy Giuliani that the Trump campaign has evidence that may change the results of the presidential electoral map, the Trump campaign is holding a press conference from the Clark County Elections Department in Nevada.

Here’s another look at the crowd. They are chanting “stop the steal.” Important to note: @NVSOS says there is NO evidence of widespread voter fraud in #Nevada, & @ClarkCountyNV Registrar of Voters Joe Gloria told us he has heard no reports of illegitimate ballots. @8NewsNow #8NN pic.twitter.com/HlEkIP7ZCg

— Orko Manna (@orko_manna) November 8, 2020

Those in attendance include former Nevada Attorney General Adam Laxalt and Chairman of the American Conservative Union Matt Schlapp.

Trump supporters are holding a prayer vigil.

The campaign press conference is due to start at 1430ET:

As PJMedia’s Matt Margolis reports, in an interview with Maria Bartiromo on Fox Business, Giuliani said as many as 900,000 invalid ballots were cast in Pennsylvania, and that the Trump campaign will reveal this evidence in court.

"These are facts of fraud," Giuliani told Bartiromo.

Bartiromo asked Giuliani if the Trump campaign believes it has enough evidence that it could alter the apparent results of the election.

“Well, I think we have enough to change Pennsylvania. The Pennsylvania election was a disaster,” Giuliani replied.

“We have people that observed people being pushed out of the polling place. We have people who were suggested to vote the other way and shown how to do it. I’m giving you the big picture.”

President Trump has insisted that the media has called the race for Biden prematurely. 

“Joe Biden has not been certified as the winner of any states, let alone any of the highly contested states headed for mandatory recounts, or states where our campaign has valid and legitimate legal challenges that could determine the ultimate victor,” President Trump said in a statement on Saturday.

Additionally, Trump tweeted this afternoon:

Watch @marklevinshow at 8:00 P.M. Will discuss the Mail-In Ballot Hoax!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 8, 2020