Independent journalist Megyn Kelly knocked Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden and other left-wingers over Biden’s calls for “unity” after “viciously” attacking President Donald Trump and his supporters for four years. Kelly first mocked a tweet from Biden’s account calling for a nation “united,” “strengthened,” and “healed.” “Written like a man who’s been in his basement […]
"It Defies Logic": Scientist Finds Telltale Signs Of Election Fraud After Analyzing Mail-In Ballot Data Tyler Durden
Mon, 11/09/2020 – 13:30
A most interesting thread popped up on Twitter Sunday from a data scientist who wishes to remain anonymous, regarding mail-in ballot data which strongly suggests fraud occurred in the wee hours of election night, when several swing states inexplicably stopped reporting vote counts while President Trump maintained a healthy lead over Joe Biden.
Using time series data ‘scraped’ from the New York Timeswebsite, the data – comparing several states (swing and non-swing) – clearly illustrates what fraud does and does not look like, and how several anomalies in swing states left ‘fingerprints of fraud’ as Biden pulled ahead of President Trump.
The following information is provided via an anonymous data scientist and another anonymous individual who wrote a script to scrape the national ballot counting time series data of off the @nytimes website.
This is based on their proprietary "Edison" data source which would ordinarily be impossible to access for people outside the press. The CSV is available here (updated). And the script to generate it is here. I suggest that everyone back up both of these files, bc this is an extremely important data source, and we cant risk anyone taking it down.
What we are looking at will be time series analysis and you will see that it is extremely difficult to create convincing synthetic times series data. By looking at the times series logs of the ballot counting process for the entire country, we can very easily spot fraud.
One of the first things noticed while exploring the dataset is that there seems to be an obvious pattern in the ratio of new #Biden ballots to new #Trump ballots.
As we can see on this log-log plot, for many of the counting progress updates, we see an almost constant ratio of #Biden to #Trump. It’s such a regular pattern that we can actually fit a linear regression model to it with near-perfect accuracy, barring some outliers. How could this be possible? Is this a telltale sign of fraud? Surprisingly, as it will be shown, the answer is no! This is actually expected behavior. Also, we can use this weird pattern in the ballot counting to spot fraud!
Here is the same pattern for Florida. We see this linear pattern again.
And again (Texas)
And again (South Dakota)
And again all over the country. What appears to be happening is that points on the straight line are actually mail in votes. The reason they’re so homogeneous across with respect to the ratio of #Biden vs #Trump votes is that they get randomly shuffled in the mail like a deck of cards. Since the ballots are randomly mixed together during transport, spanning areas occupied by multiple voting demographics, we can expect the ratio of mail-in #Biden ballots to mail-in #Trump ballots will remain relatively constant over time and across different reporting updates.
Lets dig a little deeper into this:
Here is a plot of the same Florida voting data, but this time it’s the ratio of #Biden to #Trump ballots, versus time. What we see is that the initial ballot reportings are very noisy and "random".
The initial reporting represents in-person voting. These vote reports have such large variation bc in-person voting happens across different geographic areas that have different political alignments. We can see this same pattern of noisy in-person voting, followed by homogeneous mail-in reporting in almost all cases. What we see in almost all examples across the country is that the ratio of mail-in Dem to Rep ballots is very consistent across time, but with the notable drift from Dem to slightly more Rep.
This slight drift from D to R mail-ins occurs again and again, and is likely due to outlying rural areas having more R votes. These outlying areas take longer to ship their ballots to the polling centers.
Now we’re getting into the really good stuff. When we see mail-in ballot counting where there isn’t relatively stable ratios of D and R ballots that slightly drift R, we have an anomaly! Anomalies themselves are not necessarily fraud, but they can help us spot fraud more easily.
Now let’s look at some anomalies:
This is the Wisconsin vote counting history log. Again, on the Y axis we have the ratio of D to R ballots in reporting batch, and on the X axis we have reporting time. Around 4am there, there is a marked shift in the ratio of D to R mail-in ballots. Based on other posts in this thread, this should not happen. This is an anomaly, and while anomalies are not always fraud, often they may point to fraud.
Around 3am Wisconsin time, a fresh batch of 169k new absentee ballots arrived. They were supposed to stop accepting new ballots, but eh, whatever I guess.
By 4am the D to R ratio was all thrown out of whack. That is because these ballots were not sampled from the real Wisconsin voter population, and they were not randomized in the mail sorting system with the other ballots. They inherently have a different D to R signature than the rest of the ballots quite possibly bc additional ballots were added to the batch, either through backdating or ballot manufacturing or software tampering. This of this being kind of analogous to carbon-14 dating, but for ballot batch authenticity.
Lets look at another anomaly (Pennsylvania):
Here is Pennsylvania’s vote counting history. For the first part of the vote counting process, we see the same pattern for mail-in ballots that we’ve seen in every other state in the country, which is relatively stable D to R ratio that gradually drifts R as more ballots. But then as counting continues, the D to R ratio in mail-in ballots inexplicably begin "increasing". Again, this should not happen, and it is observed almost nowhere else in the country, because all of the ballots are randomly shuffled in the mail system and should be homogeneous during counting. The only exceptions to this are other suspect states that also have anomalies.
Again, this is evidence of ballot backdating, manufacturing of software tampering.
Lets look at another anomaly:
In Georgia we see pretty much the same story as Pennsylvania: increasing fractions of mail-in D ballots over time even though it defies logic and we see this pattern no where else in the country.
In Michigan, we see a combination of Wisconsin strangeness, together with the GA/PA weirdness. We see both signs of contaminated ballot dumping, and ballot ratios drifting toward dems when they should not be.
Virginia:
Now in fairness, VA is the only state out of the 50 that has anomalies but has not had accusations of voter fraud, yet. I think this is the exception that proves the rule. Yet to figure out what causes this anomalous shift, but here it is so no one accuses me of holding it back.
Lets wrap this up: It appears Dems shot themselves in the foot bc making everyone do mail-in ballots actually makes it easier to catch mail-in ballot fraud. Bc all of the ballots go through the postal system, they get shuffled like a deck of cards, so we expect reported ballot return to be extremely UNIFORM in terms of D vs R ratio, but to drift slightly towards R over time bc some of those ballots travel farther. This pattern proves fraud and is a verifiable timestamp of when each fraudulent action occurred.
Through its rampant censorship, Twitter has done its best to silence President Donald Trump. However, neither former Vice President Joe Biden nor his campaign have received any labels or filters of any kind.
Election Day brought with it a huge spike in Twitter’s censorship. The company’s arsenal used against Team Trump included labels, filters, blocking URLs and preventing users from commenting on certain tweets. This same treatment was also handed to the Trump campaign Twitter account. Since Nov. 3, Trump’s personal Twitter account was censored 35 times as he tweeted about ballots and election counts. Overall, Twitter has censored Trump since May 31, 2018, a grand total of 111 times. In contrast, Biden and his campaign have received no forms of censorship or suppression.
Nine tweets over the past 24 hours were given labels from Twitter. The latest censored Trump tweet, a Nov. 8 video clip from Fox News’ “The Next Revolution with Steve Hilton,” was given a label: “This claim about election fraud is disputed.” However, in the video, Fox News contributor and Washington Times columnist Tammy Bruce simply said, “There’s always some kind of fraud, that’s unavoidable. But when you’re dealing with the most vulnerable voting dynamic, which are the mail-in ballots, that’s the biggest issue. And now with it being about 50 percent of what came in, we have to be able to deal with the nature of the legitimacy of this and if it can be legitimate.”
In a second censored clip, Fox Business host Maria Bartiromo discussed with Sen. Lindsay Graham (R-SC) the concept of “dead people voting.” Twitter labeled this video with “This claim about election fraud is disputed.” Yet, according to 2012 research done by the Pew Center on the States, 1.8 million deceased people were registered as voters. This topic has been discussed broadly by both sides in the past 10 years.
The third clip, an interview with Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) on Fox News’ “Sunday Morning Futures,” the senator addressed the claims of voter fraud, saying, “The legal process is how you resolve those questions.” Twitter also labeled this video, “This claim about election fraud is disputed.”
Noted conservative figures like pundit Dan Bongino, The Daily Wire’s Matt Walsh, and Paul Sperry, a media fellow for Stanford University’s Hoover Institution, have been retweeted by Trump, only to be either labeled or given a filter over their tweets.
In a previous study, Twitter had been found to have censored both Trump and his campaign 64 times. Tweets about the president’s concern over mail-in voting, COVID-19, and the Black Lives Matter protests have been given “public interest notices.”
Conservatives are under attack. Contact Twitter at (415) 222-9670 and demand that Big Tech be held to account to mirror the First Amendment while providing transparency, clarity on “hate speech” and equal footing for conservatives. If you have been censored, contact us at the Media Research Center contact form, and help us hold Big Tech accountable.
Sens. David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler (R-GA) called on Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger to resign Monday over his handling of the state’s 2020 presidential election.
“The management of Georgia elections has become an embarrassment for our state. Georgians are outraged, and rightly so,” the statement via Perdue and Loeffler reads. “We have been clear from the beginning: every legal vote cast should be counted. Any illegal vote must not. And there must be transparency and uniformity in the counting process. This isn’t hard. This isn’t partisan. This is American. We believe when there are failures, they need to be called out — even when it’s in your own party.”
“There have been too many failures in Georgia elections this year and the most recent election has shined a national light on the problems. While blame certainly lies elsewhere as well, the buck ultimately stops with the Secretary of State,” the statement continues. “The mismanagement and lack of transparency from the Secretary of State is unacceptable. Honest elections are paramount to the foundation of our democracy.”
The statement concludes: “The Secretary of State has failed to deliver honest and transparent elections. He has failed the people of Georgia, and he should step down immediately.”
The development came after as Gabriel Sterling, Georgia’s voting system implementation manager, announced that 47 counties have reported in their certified results. Presently, former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump in the state by 10,621 votes.
On Sunday, the Trump campaign tapped Rep. Doug Collins (R-GA) to lead a recount effort for the campaign in Georgia.
“In order for Americans to have full faith and confidence in our elections, every legal vote must be counted and every illegal or fraudulent vote must be excluded,” Collins said in a statement.
“We look forward to guaranteeing that our elections are safe and secure, just as we look forward to President Trump winning Georgia,” the lawmaker added.
Watch Live: Trump Campaign Press Conference After Giuliani Warns Of Election-Changing Evidence In PA Tyler Durden
Sun, 11/08/2020 – 17:24
Following earlier comments by Rudy Giuliani that the Trump campaign has evidence that may change the results of the presidential electoral map, the Trump campaign is holding a press conference from the Clark County Elections Department in Nevada.
Here’s another look at the crowd. They are chanting “stop the steal.” Important to note: @NVSOS says there is NO evidence of widespread voter fraud in #Nevada, & @ClarkCountyNV Registrar of Voters Joe Gloria told us he has heard no reports of illegitimate ballots. @8NewsNow#8NNpic.twitter.com/HlEkIP7ZCg
Those in attendance include former Nevada Attorney General Adam Laxalt and Chairman of the American Conservative Union Matt Schlapp.
Trump supporters are holding a prayer vigil.
The campaign press conference is due to start at 1430ET:
As PJMedia’s Matt Margolis reports, in an interview with Maria Bartiromo on Fox Business, Giuliani said as many as 900,000 invalid ballots were cast in Pennsylvania, and that the Trump campaign will reveal this evidence in court.
"These are facts of fraud," Giuliani told Bartiromo.
Bartiromo asked Giuliani if the Trump campaign believes it has enough evidence that it could alter the apparent results of the election.
“Well, I think we have enough to change Pennsylvania. The Pennsylvania election was a disaster,” Giuliani replied.
“We have people that observed people being pushed out of the polling place. We have people who were suggested to vote the other way and shown how to do it. I’m giving you the big picture.”
President Trump has insisted that the media has called the race for Biden prematurely.
“Joe Biden has not been certified as the winner of any states, let alone any of the highly contested states headed for mandatory recounts, or states where our campaign has valid and legitimate legal challenges that could determine the ultimate victor,” President Trump said in a statement on Saturday.
Additionally, Trump tweeted this afternoon:
Watch @marklevinshow at 8:00 P.M. Will discuss the Mail-In Ballot Hoax!
Perfectly normal though…. A software glitch caused 6,000 votes in Michigan for President @realDonaldTrump to be counted for @JoeBiden! This software is used in 47 counties in Michigan, Nevada, and Arizona! Senator @tedcruz ⬇️ pic.twitter.com/lPW5RR0243 — Kayleigh McEnany (@kayleighmcenany) November 8, 2020
(Below is a list of articles to date where potential fraud has been identified in the 2020 election and actions recommended to be taken to address issues known to date. The issues and recommendations are categorized by state with an overall section first identifying all the actions to be taken across the states followed with additional actions to be taken at each specific state.)
Overall:
Manually recount any state results where Dominion Vote Machines were used to tally results
Focus on closely contested and swing states
Focus on cities (i.e. Milwaukee, Detroit, Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, Atlanta, Las Vegas, Phoenix, Minneapolis, etc…)
Focus on absentee and mail-in Ballots
Investigate Biden only votes
Identify dead people who voted
Identify felons who voted
Identify illegal aliens who voted
Identify children who voted
Identify individuals who voted more than once
Identify newly registered individuals over 90 years old
Identify non-registered voters and review
Identify who made the call to stop counting in certain states, rationale for doing so and timing of the call
“We’ve Identified 450,000 Ballots that Miraculously ONLY have a Vote for Joe Biden” – Sidney Powell Drops a BOMB on Sunday Morning Futures (Video)
PROOF OF FRAUD? Republicans Won 28 of 29 Most Competitive House Seats, Added 3 State Legislatures, Did Not Lose a Single House Race — But Joe Biden Won!!?!
Trump Attorney: Manual Recounts May Be Necessary in 30 States After Software “Glitch” Is Caught Erasing 6,000 Votes for Donald Trump in Just One County
EXCLUSIVE: International Audit Executive – Based on Results and a Review of Numerous Activities, the 2020 Presidential Election Was MATERIALLY CORRUPTED In Favor of Democrat Joe Biden
We Call Bull$hit: Joe Biden Couldn’t Get 10 People at a Campaign Rally But He Somehow Breaks the Record for the Most Candidate Votes in US History? No Way
CHEATERS: President Trump Warns Against 4am Ballot Drops and an Hour Later Wisconsin and Michigan Drop 300,000 Ballots For Democrats and ZERO for Trump
“We Will Be Going to US Supreme Court – We Don’t Want Them to Find Any Votes at 4 in the Morning — Frankly We Won This” – President Trump Goes on Offense (VIDEO)
Trump Camp Files Suit in Georgia to Stop Counting Ballots After Biden Camp Seeks Volunteers to go ‘Door-to-Door Helping Voters Fix Their Mail in Ballots’ AFTER ELECTION DAY
HUGE! Corrupted Software Used in Michigan County that Stole 6,000 Votes from Trump — Is Also Used in ALL SWING STATES — And Uses Chinese Computer Parts In Its Machines
This Is Interesting: Internet Sleuths Were Using Michigan Govt. Website to Check for Dead Voters — So the Website Was Shut Down …Update: Now It’s Back Up
BREAKING: Project Veritas – Michigan USPS Whistleblower Details Directive From Superiors to Back-Date Late Mail-in Ballots as Received Nov 3rd So They Are Accepted (VIDEO)
EXCLUSIVE VIDEO: Republican Poll Watchers Prevented From Entering Detroit Ballot Counting Center — Local Officials Say It’s Due to ‘COVID’ Concerns (VIDEO)
BREAKING EXCLUSIVE: North Carolina Announced 100% of Precincts Were Reported On Election Night – But Never Called Trump Win – Now Claim Only 94% of Ballots Counted
Perform all the actions noted above in the overall section
Determine the number of ballots counted when Republicans were not allowed to review
Determine the number of spoiled ballots illegally handled and destroyed
Identify provisional ballots not yet counted and review
Ensure all ballots received after 8pm on election night are properly identified and secured
Investigate postmaster’s directive to back date ballots and extent of issue
Investigate why state claimed 90% of ballots were counted one day and then 88% the next
Investigate incident where civilian was reported taking ballots away from polling center
“There Are Facts of Fraud” – Rudy Giuliani: Trump Team to File Lawsuits against on Pennsylvania on Monday for Violating Federal Law — 800,000 Votes COMPLETELY INVALID! (Video)
BREAKING: Project Veritas: Bucks County, Pennsylvania Board of Elections Director Confirms “Spoiled” Ballots Were Illegally Handled and Destroyed (VIDEO)
BREAKING: Pennsylvania Whistleblower Goes Public; Confirms Federal Investigators Have Spoken with Him About Postmaster’s Order to Backdate Ballots to Nov 3rd
BREAKING: Project Veritas: 2nd Pennsylvania USPS Whistleblower Claims Postmaster Ordered Late Ballots Picked Up and Separated to be Backdated – Willing to Testify Under Oath (VIDEO)
Phillip Kline: Philly Prosecutor Threatens to Jail Trump If He Sends in Uncertified Poll Watchers — Officials Still Refuse to Allow GOP Watchers in Room (VIDEO)
Trump Camp Notches Win in PA State Court: Election Boards Must Set Aside Mail-In Ballots Lacking Identifying Info for Voter and Not Count Those Votes Until Court Rules Further
BREAKING: GOP Observers Barred From Entering Philadelphia Vote Counting Center After Receiving Court Order – Philly Sheriff Not Enforcing Appellate Court Order (VIDEO)
Allegheny County, PA Still Has 35,413 Uncounted Mail-in Ballots, But Elections Staff is Taking the Day Off For ‘Administrative Work’ – Will Resume Count on Friday
Twitter Bans Retweeting Official Statement From Erie County Election Board on Viral Post From Man Claiming to be Poll Worker Throwing Away Trump Ballots
BREAKING: Trump Campaign Manager on Wisconsin Irregularities: “The President is Well within the Threshold to Request a Recount and We Will Immediately Do So”
WOW! — The Steal Is On!… With Last Night’s Ballot Dump Wisconsin has 88% Voter Turnout or HIGHER! IT’S EITHER AN IMPOSSIBLE NEW RECORD OR IT’S HORSESH*T
Biden’s vote numbers in Michigan do not match Benford’s law at a 99.999% significance level.
Benfords law has been used on many occasions to prove election fraud (2000&2004 elections, 2003 California gubernatorial election, etc.).
Let me know if you would elaboration but the numbers can be computed in a spreadsheet using data taken from Michigan’s election data tracker from individual precincts. For context, Biden scored a 0.0000017 and trump scored a 0.58.
While Benford’s Law is not 100% proof that fraudulent data has been manufactured, “In the United States, evidence-based on Benford’s law has been admitted in criminal cases at the federal, state, and local levels.”
It was also used to determine fraud in the 2000 and 2004 U.S elections. I conducted a Chi-test comparing Michigan’s precinct vote counts to Benford’s law and found that Biden/Haris votes returned a, 0.000017% (Statistically significant, especially with a very large sample) whereas Trump/Pence votes returned a score of,
53.059791% and whilst looking at my data set I noticed there were 0 write-in votes in Michigan.
Here are some pictures of the spreadsheets with a graph comparison of the expected results vs what actually happened.
Trump’s data matches the law
(not manufactured vote counts):
Biden’s data differs greatly (fake data)
The highlighted percentage value tells you how sure you can be that fraud was committed, typically a score below 0.05 is statistically significant, and Biden scored a 0.00000017
