In 2016, large swathes of voters who previously went for Obama switched to Trump. It was one of the keys to Trump’s victory. Many of those voters have now moved firmly into the Trump camp. This is a nightmare for Democrats.
Avios reports:
Focus group: These Obama/Trump voters are just Trump voters now
Some swing voters here who voted for Barack Obama and then Donald Trump are firmly in Trump’s camp now — and they’re sick of impeachment.
Why it matters: The two-plus hour conversation revealed major warning signs for the Democratic Party in a crucial swing county that will be a pivotal area to win in 2020.
This was the biggest takeaway from our Engagious/FPG focus group last week, which included 10 voters who flipped from Obama in 2012 to Trump in 2016.
While a focus group is not a statistically significant sample like a poll, these responses show how some voters are thinking and talking about the 2020 election in crucial counties.
Why Saginaw matters: Trump won Saginaw County by just over 1% in 2016, and Obama won by nearly 12% in 2012.
The big picture:
These voters hate the fact that House Democrats are moving toward impeaching the president. They call it a distraction from the issues that would actually improve their lives, like preserving Social Security, cracking down on illegal immigration, and keeping jobs in the U.S.
The Trump economy is undoubtedly a driving factor here. See the findings from a new Quinnipiac poll below:
New Q poll:
Trump at highest approval they’ve measured.
73% say economy good or great, an 18-year high.
79% say they are optimistic about their financial future.https://t.co/T8qNimtPFg
— Elliott Schwartz (@elliosch) December 16, 2019
This is also part of what is motivating the desperate efforts of Democrats to impeach.
None of the Democrats running in 2020 can crack this wall and they know it.
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